Leveraging Distribution for Fantasy Football Drafts
Authors: Billy Jones Introduction As the anticipation for fantasy football draft season builds, analysts flood the internet with season-long player projections. While these projections serve as indispensable tools for shaping draft strategies, limiting our focus to mere averages would be a disservice to the complexity that underlies each player's potential. To be successful in fantasy football a more sophisticated approach is required, one that transcends basic mean projections and embraces the profound framework of distributions. Understanding and leveraging these distributions can revolutionize the way managers make decisions in individual games and throughout the entire season. Throughout this blog post, we will discuss the implications of outcome distributions on fantasy football and how you should be thinking through the range of outcomes for the players on your team while on the clock in your draft(s). From assessing individual game to season-long outcomes, we will shed light