Sports & Fantasy Sports Blog

Author: Billy Jones Inspiration: Paul Sabin (@SabinAnalytics/SumerSports) Introduction Welcome back, football analytics fam! I’m excited to finish this series where I analyze Justin Fields' production compared to other elite rushing quarterbacks over their first two years. Now, it's time to shift the focus to the future and look into what Year 3 might hold for this talented quarterback. As I analyze his performance and potential, I'll explore how the other quarterbacks in our study performed in year 3. So, let's dive in and take a final look at what could be in store for Justin Fields in Year 3! Ground Rules Before we jump back into the analytics, I would like to remind the readers of the ground rules we will be playing with. The data used for this analysis was obtained from NFLFASTR for 2000 through 2022. For each of the quarterbacks in the analysis we will be looking at only their first 3 years in the NFL. The quarterbacks included in the study are the top 10 rushing ...

Author: Billy Jones Inspiration: Paul Sabin (@SabinAnalytics/SumerSports) Introduction Welcome back to the blog! I’m excited to continue this series where I analyze Justin Fields' production compared to other elite rushing quarterbacks over their first two years. In the first two parts I discussed Justin Fields’ rushing production and highlighted his extremely high scramble and sack rates. Quarterback runs are fun and all that but we all know this is a passing league and that’s where games are won. In this part I'll shift my focus to Fields' passing production compared to the other players in this study. To do this I am going to use some more traditional statistics but also include some of the newer ones that you may not have of heard but are growing in popularity. Thank you for those that have followed along with this series and let's dive back into the world of football analytics! Non-Traditional Statistic Explanation Per PFF , “Expected Points Added (EPA) is a measur...

Author: Billy Jones Inspiration: Paul Sabin (@SabinAnalytics/SumerSports) Introduction Hey football analytics fam, I'm excited to be back with another football analytics blog! Today's blog is another part in my Justin Fields series. In the first part of the series, I claimed that Justin Fields was a 'scrambling man' as his rushing production was highly driven by scrambles and his scrambling rates were much higher than those of his peers. Additionally, his sack rates were really high, which is concerning about his ability to read the defense pre-snap (there have been many studies about how sacks are a quarterback stat). In this blog I take a look into Justin Fields sack and scramble rates to see how he compares against the quarterback population as a whole, and not just his elite rushing quarterback peers. I am excited to see if the ‘scrambling man’ name will hold for Justin Fields as we expand the population so let's delve into data and see what insights can be unea...

Author: Billy Jones Inspiration: Paul Sabin (@SabinAnalytics/SumerSports) Introduction Hey football analytics fans, I'm excited to dive into another interesting topic with you! In this blog I am going to take a break from my ongoing "Deep Passing Study" series to do a player profile for Justin Fields. The Chicago Bears quarterback is entering his third year in the league, and there's been a lot of twitter buzz around him, especially in the fantasy football community, most of which seems to be subjective opinions rather than objective analysis. As a data guy, the subjective opinion only analysis approach frustrates me but t here was one article I read recently by Sumer Sports’ Paul Sabin  which looked at Fields potential entering his 3rd year through the use of analytics and a data centric approach that I found particularly insightful. This article was great but talked more about general principles that Fields is likely to fit into and less specific analysis on how Fie...